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Broad Market Analysis

/SPX500USD: SP500

The SP500 put in an inside bar this week after the crazy volatile week we had last week on the massive squeeze.
With that, for this week, if $6600 can continue to hold as support going forward, look for a move higher to $6700/$6750/$6800 and potentially higher in the future.
If $6600 cannot hold as support in the future, look for a move down to $6500/$6400/$6200/$6150 in the future.

$S5FI: SP500 Stocks Above 50-Day Average

Short term breadth held 40% support last week and retest 55% resistance last week as well, which is a good sign in the short term for the bulls.
If 40% can continue to hold as support, look for a retest of 55%. Anything above 55% and targets would be 65%/72.50%/75% in the future.
If 40% cannot hold as support this week, look for a move down to 35%/30%/20% in the future.

$S5TH: SP500 Stocks Above 200-Day Average

Long term breadth failed to break over 60% resistance last week after it attempted to retest that level.
If 60% holds as resistance going forward, look for a move down to 52.50%/50% in the future.
If 60% can be reclaimed as support by the bulls, look for a retest of 65%. Anything over 65% and targets would be 70%/75% in the future.

$US30: Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow put in an inside bar last week as well, with a nice hold of $46000 to end the week.
If $46000 can continue to hold as support going forward, look for a move higher to $46500/$47000 in the future.
If $46000 cannot hold as support in the future, look for a move down to $45000 in the future. Anything below $45000 and targets would be much lower at $44000/$43000 and potentially lower.

$IXIC: Nasdaq Composite

The Nasdaq held onto $22000 support last week, which is a good sign as long as it holds as support going forward.
For this week, if $22000 can hold as support and $22500 can as well, look for a move to $23000. Anything over $23000 and targets would be $23500/$24000/etc.
If $22000 cannot hold as support this week, look for a move lower down to $21500/$21000/$20500/$20000 in the future.

$US2000: Russell 2000

The Russell made a new all time high last week, but it failed to hold after an attempt to push higher by the bulls.
For this week, if $2475 remains as resistance, look for a move lower down to $2400/$2350/$2300 in the future.
If $2475 can be broken, look for a move to $2500. Anything over $2500 and targets would be $2550/$2600/$2650/$2700 in the future.

$VIX: Volatility Index

The VIX moved higher last week, but failed to hold up and closed the week right at major support of $20.
If $20 can hold as support this week, look for a move to $23.50. Anything above $23.50 and targets would be $25/$27.50/$30 in the future.
If $20 cannot hold as support this week, look for a move to $18. Anything below $18 and targets would be $16/$14 in the future.

$XAUUSD: Spot Gold

Gold is literally going parabolic right now, with an insane move higher this week above $4000.
For this week, if $4000 can hold as support, expect Gold to continue moving higher to $4500/$4750/$5000 in the future.
If $4000 cannot hold as support in the future, look for a move lower down to $3750/$3500 in the future.

$XAGUSD: Spot Silver

Silver is also going bonkers right now, with a fresh all time high and a beautiful touch of the 1.618 for Silver to close the week.
For this week, if $50 can hold as support, look for a move to $54. Anything above $54 and look for targets of $55/$57.50/$60 in the future.
If $50 cannot hold as support this week, look for a move lower down to $48/$46/$44/$42/$40 in the future.

$DXY: US Dollar Index

The US Dollar failed to move higher last week above $100, but is still holding $98 major support.
For this week, if $98 can continue to hold as support, look for a move to $100. Anything over $100 and targets would be $101/$102/$103 in the future.
If $98 cannot hold as support in the future, look for a move lower down to $96/$94 in the future.

$USOIL: Crude Oil

Crude Oil continued lower last week after it failed to hold $60 major support the previous week, which is very bearish for Crude Oil.
For this week, if $57.50 cannot hold as support, look for a move lower down to $55/$52.50/$50 in the future.
If $57.50 can hold as support this week, look for a move to $60/$62.50/$65/$67.50 in the future.

$US02Y: US Government Bonds - 2-Year Yield

The 2-Year continued lower last week as well, with a break below 3.50% for the first time in almost 3-4 years.
With that, if 3.50% holds as resistance going forward, look for a move to 3.25%/3%/2.75% in the future.
If 3.50% can be broken and held as support, look for a move to 3.60%/3.80% in the future to test resistance above.

$US10Y: US Government Bonds - 10-Year Yield

The 10-Year also moved lower last week, with it bouncing off of 4% to close the week.
For this week, if 4% can hold as support, look for a move higher to 4.10%/4.20%/4.25% in the future.
If 4% cannot hold as support, look for a move lower down to 3.90%/3.75%/3.60% in the future.

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Technical Analysis

$MSFT: Microsoft

We’ve been keeping Microsoft on the weekly watchlist, expecting a move either way at this point, but mainly focusing on longs based on the support/resistance flip.
Microsoft struggled to get over the $508s in August, and now we’re testing that same area from above.
As long as it can hold $508.13 and push over $515.92, we could see $522.3, $525.17, and $529.93. After that, some resistance could appear in that zone but if it can clear it, we have additional targets at $532.92 and $537.5.
However, if it fails to hold $508.13, we could see downside levels at $503, $498.15, and $494.49.
After months of ranging, a strong move in either direction could be coming.

$TSLA: Tesla

Tesla has a similar look to Microsoft, it’s been rangebound for weeks and just got its first daily candle close above the trendline.
The weekly chart has a bull flag look to it, while the monthly shows a potential three bar play setting up.
With acceptance over $439.52, we have quick targets at $448.6 and $460.22. Over $460.22, we could see strong resistance around $470.54, but if Tesla is strong enough to clear it, there’s room to $480.25 and $488.54.

$AAPL: Apple

Apple had been ranging for quite some time, but last week we finally saw a move lower, triggering a pullback.
On the daily chart, the structure still has potential to form a higher low as long as price holds above $245.64.
If $245.64 holds and we see acceptance above $252.75, upside targets are $255, $258.24, and $260.10 (ATH's).
If Apple breaks into new ATH's, we can look toward psych levels at $265 and the $270s.

$GOOGL: Google

Google without a doubt is one of the stronger tech names across the board.
If you look at the monthly chart, it's had 7 months of straight green with no pullbacks.
It also wouldn't shock me if indices and other tech names continue to push higher, giving Google buyers the ability to set new ATH's.
The daily has a bull flag that has broken out and is now retesting the trend line from above.
As long as Google can hold $246.63, and get over $253.57, we could revisit $256.96 (ATHs) with the potential of setting new ATH's and could use psych targets at $260, $265, and $270.
Now if Google fails to hold 246.63, we could trigger bigger pull backs with downside targets at 241.47, 238.96, and 235.95.

$PLTR: Palantir

$PLTR remains unchanged once again! Hardcore range, but whenever this range breaks, we can expect a powerful move either way here.
If $PLTR manages to get over $179.07, we have room to $183.18, $186.46, and $190 (ATHs).
Over $190, we have the potential of psych targets at $195 and $200.

$CRM: Salesforce

$CRM attempted to break out of this channel, but on Thursday when it gapped up, it was harshly rejected and pulled back inside the channel. With the weekly close and the channel rejection, I am leaning slightly more bearish on this name.
As long as $CRM can stay below $249 and accept below $242.91, it could see $237.50, $233.79, $230s with room to $223.40.If $CRM manages to get over $249, we could retest last week’s highs at $253.19 and $258 with room to $261.71 and $265.