Decoding the Great Bitcoin Flash Crash: What Really Happened

Hey there, fellow crypto enthusiasts! It's Meta Matt here to help untangle the web of Bitcoin's most recent flash crash and see what truly sent the crypto market into a frenzy. So grab your favorite beverage and buckle up for a thrilling ride through the ups and downs of the crypto world! 🚀📉

August 18, 2023
Meta Matt

Elon Musk's SpaceX: Not the Culprit!

Hold your horses, because contrary to popular belief, Elon Musk's SpaceX didn't trigger this multi-billion-dollar Bitcoin bloodbath. The sudden drop in Bitcoin prices had everyone scratching their heads. Traders and crypto dreamers were caught off guard by the unexpected plunge. So what really happened?

The Unraveling of the Market:

  • What's the Deal? Bitcoin took a nosedive, losing 6.7% in overall market capitalization.
  • Sudden Shake: In just 24 hours, Bitcoin plummeted from $28,500 to $25,000 on Binance.
  • Whopping Liquidations: Over $1 billion in crypto futures went down the drain, breaking records left and right. That's right, over $1 billion worth of digital coins were liquidated Thursday night, biggest since the FTX Collapse!!
“SpaceX wrote down the value of bitcoin it owns by a total of $373 million last year and in 2021 and has sold the cryptocurrency,” the Wall Street Journal reported Thursday.

The Usual Suspects: SpaceX and Evergrande Not Guilty! 🕵️‍♂️

  • The Wall Street Journal reported that SpaceX had sold all its holdings of Bitcoin. Tesla, another company owned by Elon Musk, notably sold 75% of its Bitcoin holdings last year. This news however is not the reason for the crash, as it came before the plunge, and there's zero evidence that the company sold again when the market crashed.
  • China's Evergrande's bankruptcy had everyone raising eyebrows, wondering if it played a role. Evergrande is a massive Chinese real estate conglomerate, and one of the largest property developers in China. They have been facing financial difficulties, with massive debt and over $300 billion in liabilities. When Bitcoin started tumbling, some wondered if it was due to fear of a massive default and potential economic turmoil as a result of Evergrande's bankruptcy. But as the dust settled, it turned out not to be the smoking gun either.
Is China Evergrande Group To Blame?

Market Moves and Liquidation Drama:

  • Market Structure Game: Insiders suggest market structure and liquidations played a bigger role.
  • Long Squeeze: Spot selling and the break below $28,500 drove massive long liquidations.
  • BTC Open Interest: BTC open interest surged, mostly leaning towards shorts.

U.S. Interest Rates: The Real Deal? 📈

What about those rising U.S. interest rates? They're shaking up the game, sending the 10-year yield to a 15-year high. It's like bearish weather for risk assets, causing some turbulence.

Funding Rates and The Waiting Game:

  • Short Traders and Sentiment: Increased funding rates from short traders are painting a bearish picture.
  • The ETF Card: Everyone's eyes are on the Grayscale court ruling for a Bitcoin ETF.

The Big Bang: Breaking Down the Crash 🌩️

Alright, let's break it down. The Bitcoin crash wasn't a product of SpaceX or Evergrande's chaos. It's like blaming the rain for a power outage. The real culprit? The futures market went haywire.

Futures Fiasco:

  • Largest Liquidation Cascade: A monstrous $386.68 million in BTC long liquidations.
  • Market Manipulation Hints: Strategic plays by big players to profit from pricing inefficiencies.

A Glimmer of Hope? 🚀

But fear not, Bitcoin didn't lose its mojo forever. The price found a foothold around $26,400 and showed signs of recovery. If it springs back above the 200-day EMA or crosses the uptrend line at $28,400, it's a sign of bullish days ahead.

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In a Nutshell: Market Drama Unveiled

So there you have it, folks! The recent Bitcoin plunge was a wild roller coaster ride orchestrated by market structures, liquidations, and a sprinkle of rising U.S. interest rates. SpaceX wasn't pulling the strings, and Evergrande's chaos was just a side note. Keep your eyes peeled, stay sharp, and remember that the crypto world is always full of surprises!

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