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Broad Market Analysis

/SPX500USD: SP500

The SP500 is still sitting right above key support of $6900, which is the line in the sand going forward for the SP500.
If $6900 can be held as support this week, look for a move higher to $7000. Anything above $7000 and targets would be $7025/$7050/$7100 in the future.
If $6900 cannot hold as support, look for a move down to $6800/$6700/$6600 in the future.

$S5FI: SP500 Stocks Above 50-Day Average

Short term breadth remained unchanged from last week, so the same setup applies.
If 65% can be held as support, look for a move higher to retest 72.50% and potentially higher in the future.
If 65% cannot hold as support, look for a move down to 55%/45%/40% in the future.

$S5TH: SP500 Stocks Above 200-Day Average

Long term breadth is still sitting right below support of 65%, which will be the key level for long term breadth going forward.
For this week, if 65% can be broken and held as support, look for a move higher to 70%/75% in the future.
If 65% remains as resistance in the future, look for a move down to 60%. Anything below 60% and targets would be 55%/50% in the future.

$US30: Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow literally did not move last week at all, with it still sitting right below $49000.
If $49000 remains as resistance this week, look for a move to $48000. Anything below $48000 and targets would be $47000/$46000 in the future.
If $49000 can be broken and held as support, look for a move higher up to $49500/$50000/$50250 in the future.

$IXIC: Nasdaq Composite

The Nasdaq attempted to break over $23750 last week, but failed to move higher.
For this week, if $23750 can be broken and held as support, look for a move higher to $24000/$24500/$25000 and potentially higher in the future.
If $23750 holds as resistance, look for a move to $23000. Anything below $23000 and expect a move to $22500/$22000 in the future.

$US2000: Russell 2000

The Russell moved lower last week after it failed to hold $2700 support.
For this week, if $2600 cannot hold as support, look for a move to $2550/$2500/$2475/$2450 in the future.
If $2600 can hold as support, look for a move higher to $2650/$2700. Anything over $2700 and expect a move to $2730 and potentially higher in the future.

$VIX: Volatility Index

The VIX managed to hold onto $16 support last week and close right under $18 resistance.
For this week, if $18 can be broken and held as support, look for a move higher to $20/$23.50 in the future.
If $18 cannot be broken and remains as resistance, look for a move to $16/$14/$12 in the future.

$XAUUSD: Spot Gold

Gold finally pulled back last week after nonstop candles higher for literally months on end. With that, $5000 is officially resistance going forward and a major level to watch.
If $5000 can be reclaimed this week, look for a move higher to $5250/$5500/$5750 in the future.
If $5000 remains as resistance, look for a move lower down to $4500/$4400/$4250/$4000 in the future.

$XAGUSD: Spot Silver

Silver also had a terrible week, with one of the sharpest corrections I have ever seen in my entire life.
With that, $85 is the new line in the sand for Silver, so keep a close eye on the level going forward.
If $85 can be broken and held as support, look for a move to $90/$95/$100/etc.
If $85 remains as resistance going forward, look for a move lower down to $70/$65/$60/$55 in the future as there is no support below at all.

$DXY: US Dollar Index

The US Dollar closed right below $98 last week after it managed to recover off of $96 support to close the week.
With that, if $98 remains as resistance this week, look for a move to $96/$94 in the future.
If $98 can be broken and held as support, look for a retest of $100. Anything over $100 and targets would be $101/$102/$103 in the future.

$USOIL: Crude Oil

Crude Oil managed to have a nice move last week after it broke over $62.50 resistance, with a close right near $65 to end the week.
With that, it is currently getting rejected off of the long-term downtrending trendline, which has been a line in the sand for Crude Oil.
For this week, if $65 can be broken and held as support, look for a move to $67.50. Anything over $67.50 and targets would be $70/$72.50/$75 and potentially higher in the future.
If $65 remains as resistance, look for a move to $62.50/$60 in the future. Anything under $60 and expect a move to $57.50/$55/$52.50 in the future.

$US02Y: US Government Bonds - 2-Year Yield

The 2-Year got rejected off of 3.60% resistance last week, which is a key level for the 2-Year to watch going forward.
If 3.50% cannot hold as support this week, look for a move to 3.40%. Anything under 3.40% and targets would be 3.25%/3%/2.75% in the future.
If 3.50% can hold as support this week, look for a retest of 3.60%. Anything over 3.60% and targets would be 3.80%/4%/4.15% in the future.

$US10Y: US Government Bonds - 10-Year Yield

The 10-Year remained unchanged last week after it broke over 4.20% resistance last week.
Going forward, if 4.20% can hold as support, look for a move to 4.30% resistance. Anything above 4.30% and targets would be 4.50%/4.60% in the future.
If 4.20% cannot hold as support this week, look for a move lower down to 4.10%/4%/3.90% in the future.

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Technical Analysis

$HD: The Home Depot

Home Depot has my attention here! Without a doubt, the $370 area has been trying to hold, and if we do candle analysis - I really like the way Friday's candle closed.
The weekly got a sweep of last week’s low, and if it can hold $370, I like the potential of going and sweeping last week high’s and higher.
Acceptance over $374.9, we have room to $380.41, $388.52, and $393.11 with the potential of testing $400’s.

$NVDA: Nvidia

Nvidia has been struggling to get over $192.84, but anytime it gets lower around the $185-$187 area, buyers wake up and push it higher. Anytime an area gets tested, the weaker it becomes - so if it continues to test $192.84, I believe buyers can break resistance and break out.
Looking at the monthly close, it has the potential of setting a potential higher low, and breaking over last month’s high.
Acceptance over $192.84, we have long targets at $196, $199.03, and $202.34.
If bears take over and $NVDA fails to hold $185.73, we have room to $184 and $179.

$META: Meta

META had a beautiful earnings rally, gapping up way over the neckline for this double bottom on the daily chart. If we see a pullback to the neckline near $680 and fill the gap to the downside, then we’ll be pretty excited about a bounce off $680.
That said, we probably will not see a massive decline like that after such a strong rally.
We’ll be looking for continuation above $738.50 for potential retests near $571.95. $576.15, $760.72, and $768.04. If we really want to take a risk, we can use $720.65 as our confirmation trigger instead of $ 738.50 and simply add that level as PT 1.
We have support levels around $701 / $705 that we could target if we capitulate below $715.48, but we’re extremely close to that trigger, and it’s likely to false trigger.

$TSLA: Tesla

Tesla has been getting the better of me recently. I’ve been bullish and holding shares of it since before the election, but got scared when I noticed this trendline support paired with how slow TSLA has been after setting NATH and refusing to even test $500 territory.
At this point, given where we are, I think it’s still pretty 50/50 on which direction TSLA is headed next, but we can all be certain that we’re near a line in the sand and should expect a large move soon.
For the bulls, we have to break above $440 and retest levels near $450, $456.2, and $462.20 so that we can start trending higher, bouncing off this trendline, and attempt another NATH wave up. For the bears, they want to keep us under $440 with confirmation below $415.51 and downside targets near $408.5 / $391.20.

$PG: Procter & Gamble

Expected a little more out of $PG last week, but the weekly candle still looks bullish.
This is a long-term play similar to $JNJ from a few months ago, but a little riskier since we're in more of a downtrend on $PG than we were on $JNJ, in my opinion.
Regardless, I have some shares near $149.50 and plan on aiming for an ATH break or cutting below these lows around $143. About a $7 loss for a $30 aimed reward. Great dividend name with $PG as well, from what I can tell, to add to that R/R favorability.
We have support around $150 / $149.8, and $149.34 to watch for a bounce.
Otherwise, looking for acceptance over the recent highs near $152 for level retests near $152.8, $153.6, $154.21, then we have a little breathing room up to $157.02 / $158.30.

$KO: Coca Cola

Speaking of dividends, KO is a fan favorite dividend stock, and we came into last week calling for NATH. We certainly got it! However, now we have to be a little creative to come up with some realistic targets for the near future.
I think we’ll likely see another 10% out of this in the coming months, and I’m basing that on the consolidation that occurred before this neckline breakout.
We have support levels near $73.7, $73.25, and $72.83 to watch for a bounce if we pull back, but with a breakout of this nature, we want to see strong continuation. We’ll have to see how the stock reacts to psychological levels like $75 / $77.5 / $80. Definitely seems more like a set and forget shares play vs an options play given all of that info.